The map of daily new Govt-19 cases and deaths in India has been declining for at least three months, with daily new cases and deaths rising in mid-September. According to HD’s Govt-19 dashboard, an average of 22,000 new cases were reported in India every day for the week ended December 27. This is less than a quarter of the nearly 92,000 daily new cases reported on average in mid-September. This fall in new events is not a reflection of the global trend. In countries like the United States and Russia, new cases continue to grow daily. This trend now puts India in a better position globally in terms of corona virus disease than it was three to four months ago.
India’s share in new Govt-19 cases has dropped to 4.5%
At the end of March, India imposed a tight lock to prevent the spread of corona virus disease (COVID-19), while its daily new cases rose in mid-September. India’s share of confirmed new epidemics in the world is increasing every month during this period. Less than 1% of new cases were reported from India in March, while its share of new cases was 31% higher in September, meaning that almost every third positive case in the world was reported in India. It is based on data compiled by the Johns Hopkins Corona Virus Resource Center. The number of new cases reported by India in August and September was higher than any other country (the United States ranks second with half the number of new cases). In terms of deaths, India had the highest number of Govt-19 related deaths in September.
The figures are better now. This month (as of December 27), India is lagging behind the other two countries (US and Brazil) in terms of newly declared cases, while it is lagging behind the other seven countries in terms of new deaths. India’s share of new cases fell from 31% in September to 4.5% in December. The share of deaths in the country fell from 20.5% in September to 3.5% this month (again, until December 27). This means that India did not make a significant contribution to the global Govt-19 cases and deaths as it did in September.
India does not see second wave cases
Of the five countries with the highest number of confirmed Govt-19 cases, India is the only one that has not seen a second wave of cases, at least so far. It has been about 10 months since Govt-19 was declared an epidemic, and many large countries have seen many new cases during this period. The United States and the United Kingdom are in third case, while countries such as Italy, France and Spain have recently crossed their second wave. Russia now seems to be nearing the peak of its second wave. But the case in India shows a clear peak in mid-September, with daily new cases continuing to fall. There was a slight hiccup in this declining trend in mid-November, with cases starting to rise again in some of India’s major states of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, indicating the possibility of a second wave. But it did not last long and the number of cases continued to decline across India. This has happened despite the country witnessing fast-paced events like Diwali, which was marked by high crowds in the markets and the Bihar Assembly elections.
India has the lowest mortality rate
India has the second highest number of confirmed Govt-19 cases in the world, but the country has the third highest number of deaths. This gap would have been wider if only new cases and deaths had been taken into account, with India ranking third in the number of new cases and eighth in terms of the number of new deaths in December. This is because India has the lowest mortality rate (deaths per share in confirmed cases), in fact the lowest among the 10 countries with the highest number of deaths. Nearly 148,000 people have died of Govt-19 disease in India, which is 1.4% of the nearly 10.2 million cases confirmed so far. Among the top 10 countries, the death rate in Mexico is 8.8%. The United States has 87% more cases than India, but 125% more deaths. On the other hand, India has 37% more cases than Brazil, but 23% fewer deaths.